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AI


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AI and electricity demand

AI · 11 JUN 2026
Observation

Grid operators in several regions have revised demand forecasts upward, citing datacentres. The forecasts vary widely and several previous revisions were later reduced.

Narrative

AI will consume the grid. Energy demand is exploding without bound.

Alternative View

Demand forecasts created during investment booms have historically overshot. Efficiency per token has fallen sharply year over year.

Unknowns

Which forecasts are based on signed interconnection agreements versus speculative requests? How much capacity is double-counted across utilities? What does per-query energy cost actually trend toward?